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Writer's pictureJacob Curtis

Tracking Your Profit Margins During Holiday Sales: A Guide for Shopify Store Owners

Updated: Nov 15

As a Shopify store owner, I know that the holiday season brings unique opportunities to boost your revenue. However, with increased sales and promotional activities, keeping an eye on profit margins can be challenging. Today, we’ll dive into effective strategies for tracking and maximizing profit margins during holiday sales.

Proverbs 21:5: "The plans of the diligent lead surely to abundance, but everyone who is hasty comes only to poverty."

With the right plan and diligent tracking, you can make this holiday season both profitable and sustainable for your business.



1. Understanding Profit Margins

Profit margins provide a clear picture of your business's financial health. Here are the three types you should track:

  • Gross Profit Margin: Calculated as revenue minus the cost of goods sold, divided by revenue. This margin tells you how much is left after covering production costs. Example: If you make $1,000 in sales on a product that costs $400, your gross profit margin is 60%. This metric helps you gauge the profitability of each item.

  • Operating Profit Margin: This margin includes operating costs, such as payroll and marketing. Tracking this ensures that day-to-day operations aren’t eroding profits.

  • Net Profit Margin: This reflects what’s left after all expenses, including taxes. Knowing your net margin ensures you have a clear picture of profitability across all levels of your business.


2. Setting Holiday Profit Goals

Clear goals will drive better decisions. Here’s how to establish meaningful profit targets for the season:

  • Define Target Margins: Set profit goals per product. For instance, if your typical target is a 60% gross margin, aim to maintain this throughout the holiday season, even with promotions.

  • Calculate Breakeven Point: This is essential to know how much you must sell to cover costs. For example, if your fixed costs total $5,000 and each product generates $50 in profit, selling 100 units covers your costs. With this in mind, you can confidently adjust your holiday revenue targets.


3. Tracking Discounts and Promotions

Discounts are popular during the holidays, but they can significantly impact profit margins.

  • Calculate the Impact of Discounts: If you usually sell a product for $50 but discount it to $40, your gross profit margin will drop. A 20% discount may reduce your margin from 60% to 50%, so it’s crucial to consider each discount carefully.

  • Strategize Discounts: Offer smaller discounts on high-demand items and larger discounts on items that need more exposure. For example, if Product A has a 70% margin and Product B has 50%, a larger discount on Product A might preserve overall profitability.

  • Volume vs. Profit: Analyze each discount’s impact on sales volume to ensure it benefits profitability, not just revenue.


4. Calculating Cost Per Unit

Knowing your exact cost per unit helps you maintain profitability, especially with seasonal cost changes.

  • Include All Costs: Beyond production, consider packaging and shipping. If a product usually costs $20 to produce, but holiday packaging and expedited shipping add $5, the new cost per unit is $25.

  • Holiday-Specific Adjustments: These seasonal increases can lower profit margins if not factored in. Price adjustments or cost-saving measures may be necessary to maintain your target margin.


5. Monitoring Real-Time Sales Data

Real-time data is invaluable during the holiday rush. Here’s how to leverage it:

  • Use Dashboards: Shopify and other e-commerce platforms offer dashboards to help you track sales and margins in real-time. Set up alerts for top-selling items to ensure margins align with your goals.

  • Adjust Mid-Sale: For example, if a product’s profit margin is lower than expected, consider reducing discounts or bundling it with a high-margin item. Daily checks help you optimize sales without sacrificing profits.


6. Seasonal Inventory Management

Inventory management can make or break holiday profitability. Here’s how to optimize it:

  • Prioritize High-Margin Products: Focus on stocking items with higher margins. If Product A has a 60% margin compared to Product B’s 40%, allocate inventory budget toward Product A to maximize profits.

  • Avoid Overstocking Low-Margin Items: These may be tempting to discount, but they can leave you with excess stock post-season. Keep levels low and use them as upsell options where possible.

  • Use Real-Time Inventory Alerts: Tracking low stock levels for popular items helps prevent missed sales while managing overstocking risks for low-margin products.


7. Controlling Operational Costs

Holiday operations can increase expenses if not managed carefully. Here’s how to keep these costs in check:

  • Manage Seasonal Labor: Calculate labor costs against sales to maintain profitability. If each seasonal worker costs $15/hour, ensure their productivity justifies this expense.

  • Optimize Shipping Costs: Compare shipping options to find the best rates and consider minimum order thresholds for free shipping to offset the added expense.


8. Assessing Profit Margins Post-Holiday

Once the season ends, a thorough profit analysis can provide valuable insights for next year:

  • Analyze Profit by Product: Look at which products generated the highest margins and why. If Product A had a 60% margin while Product B only achieved 35%, this may guide your future discount and inventory strategies.

  • Evaluate Discount Effectiveness: Which discounts yielded the highest profitability? Did a 15% discount perform better than a 20% on similar items? Use this data to refine future promotions.


9. Implementing Profit Tracking Tools

Technology can make profit tracking easier and more efficient.

  • Automate Profit Tracking: Use platforms like Shopify, which offer integrations for real-time profit tracking, providing instant insights on product performance.

  • Invest in Custom Reporting: Custom profit tracking software allows you to track exact margins, discount impact, and cost per unit with minimal effort, making it easier to monitor performance as holiday sales unfold.


10. Leveraging Profit First for Holiday Success

Profit First can be invaluable during the holidays by encouraging smart allocation of your earnings.

  • Allocate Profits Strategically: Divide each sale’s profit into categories like Profit, Owner’s Pay, and Taxes. For example, if you earn $1,000 in profit, allocate 10% to profit, 15% to owner’s pay, and 5% to taxes. This ensures your finances stay healthy post-season.

  • Reinforce Financial Goals: Allocations help prevent overspending while building reserves for slower months.


11. Wrapping Up Holiday Profit Tracking

The insights from holiday sales can fuel growth for the entire year.

  • Document Lessons Learned: Reflect on what worked and what didn’t. Did certain products or discounts perform well? Use this information to prepare for the next holiday season.

  • Optimize Inventory and Marketing for Next Year: Use data to plan smarter, setting more strategic inventory levels and focusing on marketing for high-profit items.



If you have any questions or need personalized help, don’t hesitate to reach out. Schedule a call with Jacob by going to https://www.jacobcurtiscpa.com/5-strategies-calendar. We're here to help you piece together financial freedom.



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